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simulate drop

turn 1 play

CardMax StatThis Card %Same Stat %PercentileChance ( 1 / X )This or LowerChance ( 1 / X )This Card
Blue-eyes Ultimate Dragon
450056.816%56.816%100.00%1.001.76
Gate Guardian
375021.838%21.838%43.184%2.324.58
Meteor B. Dragon
35009.0267%9.0267%21.346%4.6811.08
B. Skull Dragon
32005.3257%5.3257%12.319%8.1218.78
Blue-eyes White Dragon
30003.6522%6.3835%6.9936%14.3027.38
Metalzoa
30001.6329%6.3835%6.9936%14.3061.24
Wall Shadow
30001.0984%6.3835%6.9936%14.3091.04
Twin-headed Thunder Dragon
28000.1717%0.1717%0.6101%163.90582.52
Gaia the Dragon Champion
26000.1194%0.2991%0.4385%228.06837.31
Sanga of the Thunder
26000.0900%0.2991%0.4385%228.061111.00
Zoa
26000.0896%0.2991%0.4385%228.061115.69
Seiyaryu
25000.0256%0.1284%0.1394%717.343902.70
Dark Magician
25000.0256%0.1284%0.1394%717.343904.57
Launcher Spider
25000.0256%0.1284%0.1394%717.343904.76
Suijin
25000.0193%0.1284%0.1394%717.345177.53
Harpie's Pet Dragon
25000.0193%0.1284%0.1394%717.345178.69
Summoned Skull
25000.0129%0.1284%0.1394%717.347752.51
Labyrinth Tank
24000.0028%0.0093%0.0110%9060.5835124.04
Kazejin
24000.0022%0.0093%0.0110%9060.5846132.84
Thousand Dragon
24000.0022%0.0093%0.0110%9060.5846214.25
Red-eyes B. Dragon
24000.0022%0.0093%0.0110%9060.5846237.13
Stone D.
23000.0003%0.0015%0.0017%58978.98296982.94
Kaiser Dragon
23000.0003%0.0015%0.0017%58978.98306564.40
Gaia the Fierce Knight
23000.0003%0.0015%0.0017%58978.98311274.63
Bickuribox
23000.0003%0.0015%0.0017%58978.98311907.57
Crimson Sunbird
23000.0002%0.0015%0.0017%58978.98459846.61
Aqua Dragon
22500.0001%0.0001%0.0002%577125.411427848.17
Machine King
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.955741934.89
Soul Hunter
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.955851454.08
Great Mammoth of Goldfine
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.955915932.92
Millennium Golem
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.955932275.27
Bracchio-raidus
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.956049249.71
Royal Guard
22000.0000%0.0001%0.0001%968643.956297606.01
Ushi Oni
21500.0000%0.0000%0.0000%39045157.24113025455.20
Metal Guardian
21500.0000%0.0000%0.0000%39045157.24126322567.50
Harpie Lady Sisters
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.20429496729.60
Air Eater
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.20536870912.00
Dragon Seeker
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.20536870912.00
Roaring Ocean Snake
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.201073741824.00
Mystical Sand
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.201073741824.00
Punished Eagle
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.202147483648.00
Empress Judge
21000.0000%0.0000%0.0000%113025455.202147483648.00

simulate turn 1

Click Randomize to draw 15 cards

Frequently Asked Questions

Fourth duelist of the Final 6. Seto betrays Heishin, seizes the 7 Millennium Items, and challenges Atem to a final duel for control over Egypt. Seto 3rd is infamous for Blue-Eyes Ultimate Dragon (BEUD) at 4500 ATK, which he has a 56.8% chance of opening turn 1. This is the most feared duel in the game.

Difficulty: Extreme.

Threat Cards

  • Blue-Eyes Ultimate Dragon (4500 ATK, 56.8% turn 1 chance)
  • Gate Guardian (3750 ATK)
  • Blue-Eyes White Dragon (3000 ATK)

Strategy

If Seto 3rd opens with Blue-Eyes Ultimate Dragon (BEUD) and you do not have Raigeki, Dragon Capture Jar, or Widespread Ruin down within 2-3 turns, you lose. Simple as that. A Gate Guardian start is actually considered 'easy mode' here. Stall him and hope for Raigeki if he plays Ultimate. If you are winning, SET YOUR WIDESPREAD RUIN IMMEDIATELY — do not give him a chance to drop a random BEUD. His only trap is Widespread Ruin. His backrows may also be Shadow Spell or Raigeki. Setting a card may trigger Harpie's Feather Duster ~65% of the time on turn 1.

Notable Drops

RankCards
ANYNot farmable — all Final 6 drops are irrelevant since you cannot save between duels.

Farming

Cannot be farmed — Final 6 duels are consecutive without saving.

AI Behavior

20-card hand size. Cannot be faked out (0% attack probability). Only trap is Widespread Ruin. Has Blue-Eyes Ultimate Dragon in deck. 56.8% chance to open with BEUD on turn 1.

Card Pages

Blue-Eyes Ultimate DragonGate GuardianBlue-Eyes White Dragon

Related Duelists

SetoHeishin

The AI Behavior section displays the duelist's artificial intelligence parameters including Hand Size, Max Fusion Length, Spell Probability, Attack Probability, Low LP Threshold, Critical Deck Size, and the probability distribution for decision states under both Total Domination and Lacks Domination conditions. These values determine how aggressively or defensively the duelist plays during a match.

Some duelists have the Millennium Eye ability (Heishin, Pegasus, Heishin 2nd, Seto 3rd, DarkNite, Nitemare), allowing them to see your face-down cards. The field section shows the terrain bonus that affects certain monster types.

Learn more about AI behavior mechanics

The swords icon next to the duelist's portrait starts a practice duel against this opponent. You can test strategies, practice farming techniques, or challenge yourself against any duelist in the game. The duel uses the duelist's actual deck, AI behavior, and field terrain.

The Deck & Drops section uses tabs to switch between viewing the duelist's Deck and their three drop pools: S,A POW, S,A TEC, and B,C,D POW/TEC. Each tab shows cards with their drop weight (out of 2048) and probability percentage.

Use the search bar to find specific cards by name, ID, type, or stats. Filter by guardian stars, card type (Monster, Magic, Equip, Trap, Ritual), or any custom group using the 'Filter by group' button.

The Simulate Drop tool lets you simulate winning a duel and seeing which cards you would receive. Select a rank (S,A POW, S,A TEC, or B,C,D), choose a quantity (1, 5, 15, or 30 drops), and click the Randomize button. Each drop is drawn from the duelist's weighted card pool, with higher-weight cards appearing more frequently.

The dropdown quantity selector multiplies the number of cards you receive from a single win — drop modes x5, x15, and x30 drastically reduce farming time compared to x1 drops.

The Turn 1 Play table shows the probability of each card the duelist can play on the first turn of a duel. The data is based on ~2 billion simulated duels per duelist, run by GMS and organized by Syura. This is not official game data but should be extremely accurate.

The bold 'This or Lower' column is the most useful metric — it shows the combined chance of the duelist starting with this card's stat or any lower stat. For example, if Kaiba has a 27% 'This or Lower' for 2000 ATK, that means there's a 27% chance he starts with 2000 ATK or less. This helps you understand how rare a particular start is.

The 'This Card %' column shows the individual probability for that specific card. The 'Same Stat %' column shows the combined chance for all cards with the same max stat. The '1 in X' column shows the rarity as '1 in X duels'.

Click column headers to sort the table. Data is not available for Duel Master K since he uses a copy of your own deck.

The Simulate Turn 1 tool randomly draws cards from the duelist's turn 1 distribution. Each card's probability of being drawn matches its 'This Card %' from the table above. Select a quantity (1, 5, 15, or 30 draws) and click the Randomize button to simulate that many starting hands.

This helps you understand what cards you're most likely to face on turn 1 when dueling this opponent. High-stat cards with larger percentages will appear more often in your simulations.

Original spreadsheet by Syura & GMS

other duelists

Duelist icon imageDuelist icon imageDuelist icon imageDuelist icon imageDuelist icon image